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体育彩票云南11选5|泽胜造船公司建造的牡丹号游艇2

作者: 发布于:2014-01-22 11:59:13 点击量:
本文来源:http://www.sztianyilong.com.cn/a/www.humen.gov.cn/

云南11选5走势图技巧 www.sztianyilong.com.cn,USPresident-electDonaldTrumppausesashetalkstomembersofthemediaatMar-a-LagoestateinPalmBeach,Florida,US,December21,2016.[Photo/Agencies]DonaldTrumpsaidhelikestobeunpredictable.Indeed,hehasbeensuccessfulinconfusingenemies,alliesandpartnersalike.HesaidChinahasstolenAmericanjobsandthreatenedtoslapa45percentimporttariffonChinesegoods.ButaChinesespokesmanhasalreadymadeitclearthatiftheone-Chinaprincipleisnotupheld,thedevelopmentofChina-USrelationsandbilateralcooperationinimportantareasisoutofthequestion.TodayChina'seconomyalreadyaccountsfor63percentofthatoftheUnitedStates.ShouldTrumpinitiateatradewarbetweenthetwolargesteconomiesintheworld,Chinawon'tbetheonlyloser.However,therearethingsthatcouldputChinaandtheUSonacollisioncourse.Thefearisthatincidents,suchasaChineseJ-8fighter'scollisionwithaUSEP-3in2001orthestandoffbetweentheUSNSImpeccableandtheUSSCowpenswithChinesevesselsin2009and2013,andthedeadlycloseencounterbetweenaChineseJ-11BfighterwithaUSNP-8Poseidonin2014,couldseethetwogiants"sleepwalking"intoawar.AnincidentbetweenChinaandJapanaroundthedisputedislandsintheEastChinaSeaorintheiroverlappingAirDefenseIdentificationZonescouldalsoleadtoaconflictthatinvolvestheUSasJapan'sally.Whetheritacknowledgesitornot,theUSisdeclining-otherwiseTrumpwouldnotneedtodeclarehewantsto"makeAmericagreatagain".And,likeitornot,Chinaisstillrising,althoughitseconomyhasslowed.ThefirstChineseaircraftcarrierhasbecomeoperationalandasecondoneisintheworks.TheUSneedstodosomesoul-searchingonasimplequestion:HowmanymilitarysecretsdoesChinahavethatjustifiestheUS'dailyintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissancethathaslastedfordecades.ThisistherootcauseoftheincidentswhichoccurinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesorintheSouthChinaSea.Inotherwords,ifthereisnoUSintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissance,therewillnotbeanincident.True,thetwocountrieshavesignedTheRulesofBehaviorforSafetyofMaritimeandAirEncounterbetweenChinaandtheUS-amilestoneinconfidencebuildingandavoidingacrisis,andpledgedtodomoreexercisestofamiliarizethemselveswithgoodseamanshipandairmanship.ButifastrongerChinabelievesthattheUS'intelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissanceactivitiesinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesareahostileactivitythatitneedstocounter,thereistheriskofanotherincident.AhealthyChina-USrelationshipcanonlybemanagedthroughdynamicleadership,firminstitutionsandstrongconfidencebuildingmeasures.Aheadofstateshouldbeaccountableand,inaway,bepredictable.Unpredictabilityisadangeroushattowear.Itonlyaddsuncertaintyandbreedsmiscalculations.ItremainstobeseeniftheUSwillcontinueits"freedomofnavigation"operationsintheSouthChinaSeaundertheTrumpadministration.ThankstoaU-turnintherelationshipbetweenChinaandthePhilippineslargelyspearheadedbyPresidentRodrigoDuterte,thetensionsintheSouthChinaSeahavecalmeddown.AnyfurtherUSintrusionintothewatersofChina-controlledislandsorreefswillonlyshowtheUStobethetroublemaker.Likeitornot,theworldhastodealwithaTrumpasUSpresident.Butbeingunpredictablewon'tbehissecretweapon.ItwillbehisAchilles'heel.TheauthorisanhonoraryfellowwithCenterofChina-AmericanDefenseRelationsatthePLAAcademyofMilitarySciences.“正如总书记所指出的,下一步仍然要坚持标本兼治,治标不松劲,不断以治标促进治本。